The wagers on prediction markets such as Intrade astutely suggested several weeks ago that Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke would get a second term. Now that it looks like he will, we can turn our attention to a more economically fundamental prediction market to get an indication of what Bernanke has in mind on rates policy. The Fed has indicated it will maintain its target low for the Fed Funds rate, but some have speculated that economic stimulus measures, when combined with the so-called "green shoots" of early signs of economic recovery, might force the Fed's hand toward a sooner-than-expected rate hike.   More