MIT economics Prof. James Poterba has conducted very rigorous research on the subject of demographic trends and asset returns. His research examined the relationship between demographic structure and returns on Treasury bills, long-term government bonds, and stocks, using data from the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom.
From his research, Poterba concluded: "The empirical results suggest very little relationship between population age structure and asset returns."
I bet Poterba wouldn't make a very good financial advisor. After examining mountains of data from three countries, this non-affirmative conclusion is the best he could come up with? We financial advisors usually do a lot better; we can spit a mountain of conclusions from a figment of our imagination. More  |